Needed: Realistic foreign policy priorities for Barack

In foreign policy as well in virtually every human endeavor, how do you know how well or badly you are doing.  Most smart people have annual physicals to check on their health.  Scorecards for hedge fund managers and CEO’s are measured in return on investment or share value.  And in sports, overtime is the ultimate measure of winning or losing.   Unfortunately, foreign policy has no universal or even partial scorecard except to the extent that White Houses, Congresses, critics and the media pass judgments on what appears to be working and what does not.  The starting point for making these assessments regarding foreign policy rests in analyzing the priorities [...]

The Islamic State: existential or exaggerated danger?

How dangerous is the Islamic State (IS)?  Given the barbarism, ruthlessness and brutality of the IS in establishing a caliphate in part by absorbing or coercing acceptance by Sunnis, Baathists and former Saddam loyalists disenfranchised or persecuted by the Shia government in Baghdad, will that amalgam hold?  Or will IS’s inhuman behavior ultimately provoke a rebellion by local Sunni tribes? Alternatively, is the IS phenomenon and the surprising suddenness of its seizure of space in Iraq and Syria a harbinger of an even greater threat to the region and beyond?  Reports of IS now extending its poisonous tentacles into Pakistan may or may not prove accurate.  However, the possibility is [...]

11/11/11

11/11/11 represents the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month of 1918 when an armistice was declared on the Western Front ending World War I.  President Woodrow Wilson subsequently declared November 11th Armistice Day.  In 1954, the law renamed Armistice as Veteran’s Day, not to be confused with Memorial Day that celebrates those American who gave their lives in battle. In the UK, 11/11/11 is known as Remembrance Day with the wearing of red paper poppies commemorating the end of a war in which more than fifty million perished.  And the next year, 1919, perhaps another fifty million died in the Spanish Flu epidemic. But the likelihood [...]

By |2017-11-14T21:28:00+02:0025 noiembrie 2014|Blog, Harlan Ullman, Pace & Securitate, Subiecte|0 Comentarii

Jocul de puzzle al lui Vladimir Putin

În ultimii 20 de ani, relevanța NATO a fost pusă de multe ori la îndoială,  atât de unii politicieni, cât și de voci din media. Dezbaterea care ne-a marcat traseul din 1990 până astăzi a fost dacă avem nevoie de NATO. Putin a încheiat dezbaterea. Am experimentat, pentru prima dată din 1945, anexarea unui teritoriu european prin mijloace militare, spunea Malcolm Rifkind, președintele Comitetului pentru Apărare din Parlamentul Britanic. Astăzi, datorită președintelui Vladimir Putin, NATO a redevenit relevant. Summitul recent încheiat a demonstrat că unitatea nu este de monolit (la fel ca și în UE), dar există un consens asupra strategiei pe care Alianța urmează să o desfășoare în viitor [...]

Statement before the House of Commons Defence Committee on Future Force 2020

1. It is a great privilege and compliment to appear before this committee.  I have known a number of its distinguished members as well as chairmen from even before Bruce George sat at its head to James Arbuthnot and very much respect your work. 2. As you know, this committee is not vested with the same constitutional authority as the U.S. Congress’s two Armed Services Committees.  That does not mean you cannot and should not play a more important role in the defence debate; exercising oversight; identifying critical issues; and issuing reports such as your excellent study on FF 2020. 3.  As a further postscript, I had the very good [...]

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