My fellow citizens

President Barack Obama gained great notoriety with brilliant speeches in Berlin during his first run for office and in Cairo after his 2008 election.  Since then, like the absence of real strategic thinking by his administration regarding foreign policy, this great rhetoric has been missing in action.  With Russia’s takeover of Crimea and the prospects for a new cold or at least cool war non-trivial, the time for a great speech is at hand.   What might the president say?  In summary terms, he might lay out a vision for the future.  The central theme for this vision is what to do post-Crimea.  In that regard, the president must focus [...]

By |2017-11-14T21:28:16+02:006 aprilie 2014|Blog, Guvernare globala, Harlan Ullman, Pace & Securitate, Subiecte|0 Comentarii
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Statele Unite confirma parteneriatul euro-atlantic la Bruxelles

Astazi, 26 martie, are loc la Bruxelles, in capitala Europei, Summitul Uniunea Europeana-Statele Unite ale Americii. Presedintele american Barack Obama se afla pentru prima data la Bruxelles de cand a preluat mandatul in 2009. Astfel, prin prezenta sa in capitala UE, presedintele SUA confirma in mod neechivoc greutatea si importanta parteneriatului euro-atlantic. Relatiile dintre Uniunea Europeana si SUA pe timpul crizei nu au fost consistente, fiecare incercand sa puna in ordine afacerile interne sau sa isi canalizeze eforturile catre zone mai apetisante, cum ar fi Asia-Centrala si Orientul Mijlociu pentru americani, in timp ce focusul pentru europeni a ramas doar pe criza interna pe care inca nu a reusit sa [...]

By |2017-11-14T21:28:16+02:0029 martie 2014|Adrian Marius Dobre, Analize si studii, Blog, Europa/Rusia, Pace & Securitate, Regiuni, Subiecte|0 Comentarii
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Geopolitics 101: History Matters

As President Vladimir Putin moves to consolidate Russian autonomy over Crimea with a referendum, the West continues to struggle to find acceptable policies to reverse or punish this encroachment.  Short of a military response that would be profoundly reckless and exceedingly dangerous, in these policy deliberations by the West led by Washington, history seems to be missing in action. Sometimes history matters.   In the late 1960’s, NATO faced several crises with the Soviet Union.  The Soviet Union had embarked on a major rearmament program for both its nuclear and conventional forces that challenged the strategy of nuclear retaliation anchoring NATO’s defense.  In 1968, after the Prague Spring broke out, [...]

By |2017-11-14T21:28:20+02:0018 martie 2014|Analize si studii, Blog, Europa/Rusia, Harlan Ullman, Pace & Securitate, Regiuni, Subiecte|0 Comentarii
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NATO’s strategic ace: Vladimir Putin

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) was on the road to irrelevance. The most successful military alliance in history has lacked a real enemy since the Soviet Union disintegrated a quarter of a century ago.  After a dozen years of war in Afghanistan,  NATO’s role is coming to an ignominious end. Because of Afghan President Hamid Karzai’s refusal to sign a Basic Security Agreement (BSA), NATO is now forced to plan for the withdraw of all of its military forces by the end of 2014.  Without substantial coalition forces and, as important, the money and aid Afghanistan receives because of that presence, the Karzai government will be unable to prevent [...]

By |2017-11-14T21:28:20+02:004 martie 2014|Analize si studii, Apărare / Securitate Naţională, Blog, Guvernare globala, Harlan Ullman, Pace & Securitate, Subiecte|0 Comentarii
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Geopolitics 101—Don’t lose wars!

Prior to entering national office, politicians of all stripes and especially American presidents-elect and members of Congress should take a short course in Geopolitics 101.  That course would have but two warnings:  don’t start wars you can’t win and above all don’t lose wars.  One would think that is common sense.  But it is not. America’s wartime scorecard is not impressive with a singe exception.  Along with allies, we won the big one---World War II.  Korea was at best a draw.  Vietnam, and let’s not forget that was a war of our choice, went to the other side.  Grenada did not count.  Afghanistan and Iraq have turned out badly so [...]

By |2017-11-14T21:28:21+02:0026 februarie 2014|America, Apărare / Securitate Naţională, Blog, Harlan Ullman, Pace & Securitate, Regiuni, Subiecte|0 Comentarii
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