About Harlan Ullman

Autor a multiple cărți politice. un lider global de gândire și un strateg inovativ.

A defining moment in history

Make no mistake: in taking the fight to the Islamic State (IS or aka the Enemies of Islam), President Barack Obama is at a defining moment for his presidency and probably the future.  Perhaps less spectacular than the fall of the Berlin Wall and the implosion of the Soviet Union a quarter of a century ago or September 11th, the decision to catalyze a global fight against Islamic extremism and terrorism could be as far reaching in consequence.  Consider the grounds for this conclusion. The accumulating grievances dating back to well before the Sykes-Picot secret treaty of 1916 sliced Mesopotamia into indigestible parts have become irreversible thus forcing religious, ethnic, [...]

Big ideas needed now

When confronting a big problem, President General of the Army Dwight Eisenhower believed that the best solution could be found by making the problem bigger.  What he meant was that in moving from, in military terms, a tactical to a strategic solution the latter would resolve the former.  This is what President Barack Obama must do as he confronts a world of volatility and uncertainty perhaps unlike any other period in memory. In fact, today could be an inflection point as great or greater than the end of the Cold War or September 11th. The president’s strategic approach is cautious and restrained yet uses often-excessive rhetoric such as announcing a [...]

Do not defer action against ISIS!

While President Barack Obama is contemplating what to do, if anything, about ISIS/L (now called the Islamic State or IS) as well as recovering from the “hug-out (what a ridiculous phrase)” in Martha’s Vineyard with former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton after her pointed criticism about the White House’s lack of a strategy in Iraq, he ought to consider the consequences, intended or otherwise, of deferring or taking strong action in Iraq.  History is full of useful examples that are relevant today to dealing with IS one way or another.   Consider 1947, 1948 and 1949.  In 1947, Britain granted India independence and partition that created East and West Pakistan.  [...]

The New MAD: An era of assured disruption

For much of the cold war, the major strategic and security paradigm between east and west was largely (and misleadingly) defined as an era of mutual assured destruction or MAD. MAD meant both sides could assure the near total destruction and defeat of the other in a nuclear or thermonuclear war.  Today, despite the presence weapons of mass destruction, the era of MAD is over.  But a new strategic mindset is now needed. The demise of the Soviet Union is one reason.  As important is the erosion of the Westphalian system of state-centric politics.  Through a combination of the diffusion of all forms of power and globalization, individuals and small [...]

August: the most dangerous month?

Arguably, August is in the finals as potentially the most dangerous month of the year.  On August 4th a century ago, Britain went to war to honor an 1839 treaty immediately after the Kaiser’s army invaded that Belgium.  Fifty years ago, on the same date in 1964 (following an attack by North Vietnamese torpedo boats on a U.S. Navy destroyer two days before), a second incident occurred in the Tonkin Gulf.  Two Navy destroyers radioed that both were under torpedo attack.  No such attack took place.  But the incident was enough for the U.S. Congress to pass the Tonkin Gulf Resolution that began a decade of war in Vietnam, the [...]

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